One of my Twitterfriends Tales recently wrote a great blog post on What Happened to Twitter so I’ve decided to chuck in my two cents as well. The fall of Twitter has been one of the great internet debate topics over the last month or two, of course the technical problems of Twitter go way back to its first explosion in popularity in round about early 2007 when web celebrities such as Leo Laporte began to use the service.
Unfortunately the nature of a service such as Twitter where messages are recieved by a central server, archived and then pushed out to a bunch of “followers” does not lend itself to scaling. Every time Digg founder Kevin Rose Twitters the message has to be pushed out to over 48,000 people, a number which is growing on a daily basis. Twitter has also to an extent complicaed this by also pushing out messages over SMS a potentially huge undertaking. If just 1,000 of Kevin’s followers want to see his Twitter then 1,000 messages have to be sent (at Twitter’s expense) to mobiles all over the world.
The real strain has been seen since about May this year when after multiple downtime issues the IM service was withdrawn in an attempt to improve the stability of the service with a promise to return the service “as soon as possible”. Three months on the service has yet to return and little progress appears to have been made in improving the stability of the service. Important services such as being able to see posts beyond the most recent 20 and being able to view replies were also unavailable for days at a time
However up until the end of June little progress appeared to have been made in finding a successor to Twitter, Kevin Rose’s own Pownce didn’t seem to be going anywhere and the most obvious Twitter-competitor Jaiku had been bought by Google and essentially shut down with no new members being allowed to join. The someone (Leo Laporte) discovered Plurk, twittered about it and suddenly we seemed to have our knight in shining armour. As Plurk’s own blog post shows the levels of traffic exploded overnight.
But contrary to the expectations of many people liked what they saw and didn’t just migrate back to Twitter after the weekend was over. While an obvious Twitter clone plurk does have enough features to distinguish it from Twitter such as the horizontal timeline and buit in replies.
So is this the end of Twitter? The orgenisation behind Twitter just recieved $15 Million in venture funding and says it plans to spend the money to shore up the service. But unless there are any big changes over the next few weeks and months I would have to say that it is pretty much over for Twitter, before now it may have been possible for Twitter to stave off its death. But now many of its most loyal users are jumping ship the oppertunity seems to be slipping from Twitter’s grasp